Welcome to the Clubhouse Guy Blog
Everything you’ll read here comes from a career spent in the thick of it — sports production trucks, live streaming control rooms, college recruiting sidelines, and long conversations with people who love sports as much as I do. These posts reflect the topics I’ve grown passionate about over the years — from the tech behind live broadcasts to the grind of getting athletes recruited — and the lessons I’ve learned through experience, curiosity, and plenty of trial and error.
I’ve gained so much simply by reaching out to people I admire — people whose work inspired me or whose path I wanted to understand. Some became collaborators. Some became mentors. Some never responded — and that’s okay. If there’s one piece of advice I’d pass along, it’s this: don’t be afraid to reach out. The worst they can say is no.

Week 1 NFL Picks: Using Game Theory to Outsmart the Spread
Every year, my friends and I play in a “pick ’em” league. It’s simple: you pick every NFL game against the spread, then assign confidence points (16 down to 1). If your pick hits, you earn that many points. Bragging rights and season-long glory are on the line.
This season, I’ve added a twist: I’m using a minimax game theory simulation (yes, the same kind you see in AI research) to model offensive/defensive strategies and simulate 2,000 games per matchup. It helps cut through noise, find the best ATS edges, and spot value on moneylines and totals.

College Sports' Growing Divide—and How to Bridge It
College athletics was once defined by regional rivalries, underdog stories, and a sense that any program could rise to national prominence with the right mix of talent, grit, and coaching. Today, that balance is eroding. A small group of wealthy schools continues to surge ahead, while smaller programs struggle to remain relevant. The driving forces include massive media contracts, the transfer portal, and explosive NIL growth. These shifts reward the few at the expense of the many.

Minimax Strategy in NFL Playcalling
I’ve been working behind the scenes on a new way to analyze NFL games using game theory and data-driven strategy. Instead of just guessing, I’m applying the minimax principle — the idea that each coach calls plays to protect against the worst-case scenario — and combining it with EPA (Expected Points Added) from thousands of real plays (2022–2024).
This approach builds “matchup matrices” that show how offenses perform against specific defensive looks, then runs 2,000 full-game simulations to see how those tendencies scale up. The DAL vs PHI example? Both teams’ minimax move was to attack deep, but PHI’s deep passing proved far more consistent, leading to a 67% win probability in the sim.

Consistency Over Glory
In the mythology of the National Football League, nothing seems more important than winning the Super Bowl. A single championship can immortalize players and coaches. But from a business standpoint, a different truth emerges. The real winners—in terms of revenue and fan engagement—are often the franchises that consistently reach the postseason, even without frequent championships.

How Small Schools Can Use Athletics to Boost Enrollment
For small colleges, enrollment isn’t just a metric — it’s the scoreboard. When headcount drops, everything from tuition to team morale takes a hit. You can overhaul programs, rebrand your website, or hire a consultant. But one of the most direct and often overlooked strategies?
Athletics.
Not just as a recruiting tool — but as a full-on enrollment engine. If you're not leveraging sports strategically, you're missing one of the best opportunities to grow your campus and stabilize your bottom line.

Are We Headed for a Premier League of College Football?
I’ll be honest — when USC and UCLA announced they were heading to the Big Ten, my first thought wasn’t “tradition is dying.” It was:
“This is textbook game theory.”
College football has become a boardroom game. Universities are the players. The stakes? Media money, NIL power, and long-term survival.
We’re not just watching schools change conferences. We’re watching them make calculated, strategic moves in a system that now rewards consolidation over culture. And now that the Pac-12 has disbanded, it’s clear: the game isn’t regional anymore — it’s national, and it's ruthless.

How NIL and the Transfer Portal Broke College Football’s Middle Class
If you told me five years ago that college athletes could finally get paid, I would’ve said “It’s about time.”
And I meant it. I believed in NIL. I supported the transfer portal. I still do — in theory.
But the way it’s playing out? It’s not what any of us hoped for.

Streaming Sports Isn’t the Future — It’s the Financial Battleground of Right Now
If you’ve ever opened five apps just to find the one game you want, you already know:
Live sports streaming has taken over.
But behind the scenes, it’s not just a convenience war. It’s a money war. A strategy war. A who-blinks-first war. I’ve worked on the inside — from broadcast booths to streaming roadmaps — and I can tell you, this industry is rewriting the rules every season.
Let’s dig into what’s really going on under the hood.

Who Really Owns the Game?
Why is it so hard to watch the team you actually care about?
Sometimes it's blackouts, sometimes it’s a streaming service you didn’t know you needed. The answer behind it all? Sports media rights — the multi-billion dollar chessboard that decides who sees what, when, and where.
I’ve worked behind the scenes with broadcasters and streamers — places like Fox Sports, Stats Perform, and Amazon Prime Video. I've seen how complicated (and cutthroat) the world of media rights can be. Here's a real-world breakdown of how it works — and why it matters more than ever.

🏈 What a Rugby Study Taught Me About Hype and Momentum
There’s something about game day energy that’s hard to explain but easy to feel.
The QB who’s bouncing on his toes. The wide receiver who won’t stop talking smack. The crowd, the music, the vibe—it all builds into something we call “momentum.” And whether you’re a player, a coach, or just a fan, you’ve seen it. Sometimes a team just looks ready.
Well, it turns out that feeling might be backed by science.